In a new poll, half of Republicans say they would support postponing the 2020 election if Trump proposed it

What a sensational headline, (and I don't mean good or true.)  I would remind the reader that a study is not a fact.  Although I do think that it is entirely possible for us to have a coup in this country (indeed probable), I doubt that Trump is the one to lead it. Although I am not suprised by the study results, I agree with the commenter below that this study does not mean much, and as Noam Chomsky has recently noted, the one to fear is the young, truly charismatic and intellectually coherent fascist that replaces him.  That is certainly the authoritarian direction we have been going toward for many years.  Combine this with the seemingly unstoppable bi-partisan militarization of police, the exponential increase in domestic surveillance and use of military grade drones at home over time-- we have grounds to be very worried -- Just not necessarily about Trump.  The devil is in the details.  The neoliberal establishment for decades has given the executive branch unprecidented tools while eroding trust in the house and senate. Elections are a farse in too many ways to count in these comments and a majority of statehouses and governerships are even worse. Corrections to this undemocratic drift in course that makes a coup possible will be connected to many thousands of nooks and crannies of law and administration that will still be there after Trump is gone unless changed.

Comment by Tim Willoughby
8/15/2017 3:35 AM PDT
I'm surprised by the results of this survey. Appreciated getting as much detail as we did on methodology behind it, but would love to know some more details of how the results were weighted. If you weight on age, gender, race, and education, and do so to match the population, that could be a lot of weighting! I hope these results were weighted to represent the Republican population, and that it worked out that none of the weighting factors were especially high.

If you had only a sample that began skewed, then weighting could send those results in all sorts of crazy directions.

Additionally, 52% agreement, while surprising, is unlikely to be a significant difference against disagreement (i.e. if you ran the exact same study again, it wouldn't consistently be higher than disagreement), with the sample size you're talking about.

While the headline numbers here are certainly concerning, I'm not convinced that the stats really mean much here."

The the original Washington Post article here if you wish to read it.

In a new poll, half of Republicans say they would support postponing the 2020 election if Trump proposed it - The Washington Post:



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